17th april 1872 kilvert is on holiday in the gower.
'as we lay on the high cliff moor above oxwich bay sheltered by some gorse bushes there was no sound except the light surges of the sea beneath us and the sighing of the wind through the gorse and dry heather.'
meanwhile, the same day, at nearby killay there is a coal mining accident. two men and a pony are drowned when a section of the pit floods and third man, a rescuer, is hideously burnt when his unshielded lamp explodes some firedamp.
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we move towards the may 7th elections
voters in scotland and wales will elect representatives to their national parliaments.
a number of local council and mayoral polls will take place in england.
in northern ireland, local council and assembly elections are not scheduled until may 2027.
reform can be expected to do well in wales because it is not first passed the post but proportional representation - the caerphilly defence of voting to keep reform out will not work. similarly for the greens (and indeed your party should they actually run any candidates) they should do well and achieve fair representation.
scotland MSPs are election on an additional member system (broadly designed to produce proportional representation).
elsewhere it is first passed the post and this, together with more than 2 plausible parties, can result in distortions (horsemouth recommends the gallagher index to measure these).
the problem in many seats is working out who the keep reform out party are. in the caerphilly by election (conducted under first passed the post) it was clearly plaid cymru. who it will be in council elections up and down the land is not clear.
and then that's our lot. that's all our supply of democracy until the next general election which must be held by 15th august 2029. the prime minister has the power to dissolve parliament and call it earlier (but then neither he nor his successor has any real reason to).
it is the collapse of horsemouth's belief in radical or protest politics that leads him to electoral politics.
but he doesn't really believe in that either.
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today it looks like rain (according to the weather forecast). the weekend and next week look pretty decent.
last night a decent bell-ringing. horsemouth needs to work on understanding called changes. he's chasing after plain hunt but maybe he needs to build his skills first. he needs to remember to change on the handstroke not the backstroke.
