Monday 6 June 2022

general horsemouth and the war in ukraine (all's fair in love and war part 2)

horsemouth is up. he has his coffee. 

... and he's discussing the war in ukraine (day 100 and something).

armchair general horsemouth is a peace at any price merchant. he likes to avoid conflict. he regards poking nuclear armed russian bears with sticks as a bad idea. he regards wars to promote democracy (that you then go on and lose) as a bad idea. if you wanted to concoct a media image to convince people not to rise up against injustice in the name of democracy (but to just sit there and take it) then the refugees besieging kabul airport would probably do it. that and the basket case that is iraq, or libya, or syria... 

he applauds the bravery of the people of ukraine for fighting the invader (but frankly he thinks they would be better off fleeing). flee now while pro-ukrainian sentiment is high (because, if it is anything like afghanistan, pretty soon people won't give a fuck).

at the moment the west is happy to arm the ukrainians to the teeth and to cheer them on (but not actually defend them). but will that still be the case if there is another trump in the white house?  and after the joys of letting poland and hungary into the EU will the EU be as keen to admit ukraine - isn't this just more faff and difficulty for more hinterland for the germans and french? wouldn't they rather stabilise the kleptocracies that are russia and belarus with more trade (more cheap gas and oil)? 

and if the war drags on will the world really be improved by collapsing russia (again)? 

russia is, in any event, probably doomed to fall as the oil and gas becomes worthless (mere carbon). or maybe not, maybe we are deluding ourselves that serious measures to stop global warming will ever really be taken, maybe they have just affixed a fashionable windmill to the great game. 

surely the end game for the EU (aka. france and germany) is to persuade ukraine to accept the loss of crimea, donbass etc. and admit the western rump of it (and to keep the russian oil and gas flowing to prevent the hit to germany's economy at a time of retrenchment).

meanwhile (back in the US of A) have you forgotten and forgiven january 6th yet? was that not an attempt by a sitting president to overturn the result of an election?  an attempted insurrection supported by many ex-service personnel and a significant proportion of the people. and these people all have the vote (the vote they believe can be stolen) in upcoming presidential elections. 

it all came pretty damn close and it could come again. 

meanwhile yesterday was the anniversary of the second day of recording of geechee recollections by marion brown in 1973, one of three albums dedicated to his home state of georgia. here's a cover version to be getting on with. 

it's a grey day without. yesterday horsemouth just sat and read and snoozed. he watched some blake's 7. the guerrilla group fights the evil federation. today he will go for a wander(perhaps he will identify sme plants using the collins guide) . tomorrow he is back to the salt marshes. 






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