Tuesday, 25 June 2024

is this the tory death spiral? (is this the best headline ever?)

the first wholly written in the morning blogpost in a while. 

the michael o'shea documentary from RTE is available as a podcast. there's a download also.  

it's a beautiful day out there. horsemouth was up to move the milk delivery over to the fridge in the garage and to water the garden and in the potting shed. 

last night a meeting of the communal endeavour (painless). horsemouth regretted not being in the seaside towns with his friends). he followed it up with a bottle of beer while watching videos on the tories filleting themselves on the rocks of the election. (sample headline - is this the tory death spiral? this  morning he feel good). 

horsemouth supposes that we are looking at the last tory scandal for at least a while. 

he has his coffee. wait a second he will nip downstairs and get another cup. 

tomorrow his brother, his brother's wife, eldest son and eldest son's girlfriend are up visiting. horsemouth will probably take the opportunity to nip back to the seaside towns for a 10 days or so. he needs to get in his vote (on the fourth) probably a vote for labour and for diane abbott (just to piss off keir starmer).

as a result of boundary changes intended to render the size of constituencies  more equal horsemouth's constituency is now hackney north. similarly horsemouth must remember to take photo ID with him to the polling station. now as the gallagher index tells us the real sources of under and over representation in uk elections are low voter registration and third party effects due to the first past the post system (the tories are about to witness the full horror of this at the hands of reform) rather than uneven constituency sizes and voter fraud.

there is next to no voter fraud (especially of the type   'personation') and really all the measures to discourage it are really just attempts to discourage voting itself. 

it is not that horsemouth is a big fan of diane abbott but that he doesn't yet know if her seat is safe given her recent fuck ups - when he is sure he will revert to his usual habit of voting green because it's a safe labour seat and while he wants the tories out of government what he really wants to see are green policies. 


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