the theory today is that horsemouth is off on holiday

the 17th of february, in 1872 in kilvert land, the tale of a forged will at vron ddu.  

the forgery is discovered and one of the forgers flees to america.

politics 

horsemouth has no idea where it is all going (and neither does anyone else he suspects). what will the results be of the various splits out of reform? not a lot he thinks - the name recognition is with farage (toad of toad hall) and then whatever party he is in (reformobexitoukip). 

in the triumvirate, the 3-headed god that you cast your vote on; 

your candidate - the party - the leader of the party

it doesn't matter who your candidate is - they could be a 17 year old or an ex-tory minister - the recognition is with farage and then reform (and in that order).

would people vote reform if it wasn't farage? (if it was back to tice for example?) probably not. or not as much. 

but farage has nothing to offer but civic nationalism (aka, racism) and a warmed up thatcherism. what thatcher did can not be redone. similarly what blair, brown, cameron, osborne (and the rest of that sick crew) did cannot be easily undone - in any event  the new labour/ neoliberalism world ended with the brexit vote and we are onto the next thing (gawdelpus). 

the maurice glasman interview is interesting. prior to watching it horsemouth had him pegged as a villain. the label blue-labour (or socially conservative labour) does not help, it is really much more about labour/ the working class and where the working class are, rather than where the labour party membership (and leftist creatures like horsemouth) would wish them to be.

the scale of the may wipeout just got bigger.

a lot rides on gorton and denton. matt goodwin seems to be more of an ethno-nationalist than a civic nationalist and that may count against him in an urban constituency. 

ok the theory today is that horsemouth is off on holiday - but he's not quite sure when he's going yet or how he's going to make it to hereford or abergavenny (depending on time and the best route) to get the train. he wants to be sure reinforcements are on their way before he heads off. 

looks like the route through birmingham is out (landslide onto the tracks between worcester and droitwich). that may make getting away earlier important. if he could get out the door early there's a bus. similarly last thing there's a bus. otherwise it's a walk to pontrilas. 

there would be a lift in but that means arriving in london later. (and so on)